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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 15 August 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222098
  1. 4
  2. 22
  3. 34
  4. 42
  5. 48
  6. 3

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,169 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-08-13All recent draws2022-08-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 22 34 42 48 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 22 34 42 48 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd1th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

4224times
22253times
34205times
42206times
48

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 505k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang611%€268.7K
  • rang835%€829.0K
  • rang928%€668.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%€586.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

212times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

3213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,168 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2021 — its closest relative in 2,168 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang28≈ 1.3 by chance€17,802
  • rang329≈ 31 by chance€1,199
  • rang4297≈ 281 by chance€422
  • rang51,327≈ 1.3k by chance€56.40
  • rang611,580≈ 12k by chance€23.20
  • rang718,846≈ 19k by chance€11.10
  • rang8169,186≈ 169k by chance€4.90
  • rang9303,774€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 11,580 winners, 4% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang28€17,802
    rang329€1,199
    rang4297€422
    rang51,327€56.40
    rang611,580€23.20
    rang718,846€11.10
    rang8169,186€4.90
    rang9303,774€2.20