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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 1 August 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222092
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 38
  6. 6

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,163 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-07-30All recent draws2022-08-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 4 23 30 38 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 23 30 38 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

1227times
4223times
23227times
30211times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 481k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€272.4K
  • rang837%€833.9K
  • rang925%€567.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€594.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 216 of each

6201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,162 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 30, 38) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 December 2018 — its closest relative in 2,162 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2022): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.4 by chance€72,207
  • rang325≈ 35 by chance€1,410
  • rang4278≈ 315 by chance€457
  • rang51,267≈ 1.5k by chance€59.90
  • rang612,848≈ 14k by chance€21.20
  • rang719,210≈ 21k by chance€11.00
  • rang8189,532≈ 190k by chance€4.40
  • rang9257,794€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,267 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€72,207
    rang325€1,410
    rang4278€457
    rang51,267€59.90
    rang612,848€21.20
    rang719,210€11.00
    rang8189,532€4.40
    rang9257,794€2.20