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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 30 July 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222091
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 38
  6. 6

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,162 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-07-27All recent draws2022-08-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 14 21 24 38 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 21 24 38 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

2213times
14210times
21213times
24221times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.9Mto 837k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang150%€4.0M
  • rang818%€1.4M
  • rang912%€983.9K
  • 6 other tiers19%€1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 216 of each

6200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 21, 24, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 August 2017 — its closest relative in 2,161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€124,732
  • rang356≈ 61 by chance€1,087
  • rang4564≈ 546 by chance€389
  • rang52,488≈ 2.6k by chance€52.70
  • rang623,783≈ 23k by chance€19.80
  • rang734,045≈ 37k by chance€10.70
  • rang8328,968≈ 329k by chance€4.40
  • rang9447,220€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 34,045 winners, 7% fewer than the 37k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€4,000,000
    rang22€124,732
    rang356€1,087
    rang4564€389
    rang52,488€52.70
    rang623,783€19.80
    rang734,045€10.70
    rang8328,968€4.40
    rang9447,220€2.20