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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 20 December 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211152
  1. 12
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 47
  6. 1

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,067 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-12-18All recent draws2021-12-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 22 23 25 47 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 22 23 25 47 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each

12197times
22237times
23216times
25194times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 527k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang613%€333.8K
  • rang839%€1.0M
  • rang920%€532.1K
  • 5 other tiers28%€727.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

1221times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,066 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 22, 25, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 July 2016 — its closest relative in 2,066 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.9 by chance€176,681
  • rang325≈ 45 by chance€1,725
  • rang4349≈ 408 by chance€446
  • rang51,332≈ 1.9k by chance€69.70
  • rang617,757≈ 18k by chance€18.80
  • rang719,657≈ 27k by chance€13.20
  • rang8245,581≈ 246k by chance€4.10
  • rang9241,865€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,332 winners, 32% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang21€176,681
    rang325€1,725
    rang4349€446
    rang51,332€69.70
    rang617,757€18.80
    rang719,657€13.20
    rang8245,581€4.10
    rang9241,865€2.20