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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 December 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211151
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 46
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,066 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-12-15All recent draws2021-12-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 10 31 38 46 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 31 38 46 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each

2207times
10203times
31217times
38226times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.3Mto 930k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€501.4K
  • rang835%€1.5M
  • rang928%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

8187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,065 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 31, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 October 2019 — its closest relative in 2,065 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2021): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.4 by chance€132,567
  • rang339≈ 59 by chance€1,659
  • rang4414≈ 531 by chance€564
  • rang52,439≈ 2.5k by chance€57.10
  • rang620,632≈ 23k by chance€24.30
  • rang736,948≈ 36k by chance€10.50
  • rang8319,572≈ 320k by chance€4.80
  • rang9550,247€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 414 winners, 22% fewer than the 531 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang22€132,567
    rang339€1,659
    rang4414€564
    rang52,439€57.10
    rang620,632€24.30
    rang736,948€10.50
    rang8319,572€4.80
    rang9550,247€2.20