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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 13 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211123
  1. 19
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 43
  5. 49
  6. 10

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,038 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-10-11All recent draws2021-10-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official19 20 21 43 49 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed19 20 21 43 49 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

19193times
20202times
21197times
43210times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 608k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang613%€403.8K
  • rang839%€1.2M
  • rang921%€677.4K
  • 5 other tiers27%€880.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

212times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

10195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,037 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 21, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 February 2021 — its closest relative in 2,037 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.0 by chance€106,945
  • rang325≈ 48 by chance€2,088
  • rang4340≈ 430 by chance€554
  • rang51,530≈ 2.1k by chance€73.50
  • rang615,652≈ 18k by chance€25.80
  • rang723,590≈ 29k by chance€13.30
  • rang8258,590≈ 259k by chance€4.80
  • rang9307,895€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,530 winners, 25% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang22€106,945
    rang325€2,088
    rang4340€554
    rang51,530€73.50
    rang615,652€25.80
    rang723,590€13.30
    rang8258,590€4.80
    rang9307,895€2.20