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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 September 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211112
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 21
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 2

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,027 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-09-15All recent draws2021-09-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 9 21 38 39 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 21 38 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

2205times
9210times
21196times
38222times
39

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 784k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€487.9K
  • rang838%€1.5M
  • rang923%€901.7K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

2186times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,026 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 38, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 August 2020 — its closest relative in 2,026 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 64 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.4 by chance€258,275
  • rang343≈ 59 by chance€1,466
  • rang4432≈ 529 by chance€526
  • rang52,158≈ 2.5k by chance€62.90
  • rang620,674≈ 23k by chance€23.60
  • rang732,289≈ 35k by chance€11.70
  • rang8318,438≈ 318k by chance€4.70
  • rang9409,854€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 432 winners, 18% fewer than the 529 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€258,275
    rang343€1,466
    rang4432€526
    rang52,158€62.90
    rang620,674€23.60
    rang732,289€11.70
    rang8318,438€4.70
    rang9409,854€2.20