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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 30 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211104
  1. 3
  2. 18
  3. 32
  4. 34
  5. 44
  6. 9

Jackpot€21,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,019 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-28All recent draws2021-09-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 18 32 34 44 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 18 32 34 44 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

3210times
18194times
32194times
34189times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-30

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 645k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€369.0K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang926%€823.0K
  • 5 other tiers26%€803.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

208times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

9208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,018 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 34, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,018 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€21,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.7 by chance€97,726
  • rang337≈ 42 by chance€1,289
  • rang4382≈ 379 by chance€450
  • rang51,699≈ 1.8k by chance€60.50
  • rang615,975≈ 16k by chance€23.10
  • rang724,429≈ 25k by chance€11.70
  • rang8228,122≈ 228k by chance€4.90
  • rang9374,108€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,699 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€21,000,000
    rang22€97,726
    rang337€1,289
    rang4382€450
    rang51,699€60.50
    rang615,975€23.10
    rang724,429€11.70
    rang8228,122€4.90
    rang9374,108€2.20