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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 28 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211103
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 43
  4. 46
  5. 48
  6. 9

Jackpot€20,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,018 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-25All recent draws2021-08-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 11 43 46 48 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 43 46 48 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

8185times
11203times
43209times
46199times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • rang612%€552.1K
  • rang836%€1.7M
  • rang927%€1.3M
  • 4 other tiers25%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

9207times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,017 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 46, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,017 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€20,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.7 by chance€292,247
  • rang343≈ 67 by chance€8,455
  • rang4499≈ 601 by chance€516
  • rang52,581≈ 2.9k by chance€59.50
  • rang623,297≈ 26k by chance€23.70
  • rang739,071≈ 40k by chance€11.00
  • rang8362,077≈ 362k by chance€4.70
  • rang9586,458€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 499 winners, 17% fewer than the 601 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€20,000,000
    rang20€292,247
    rang343€8,455
    rang4499€516
    rang52,581€59.50
    rang623,297€23.70
    rang739,071€11.00
    rang8362,077€4.70
    rang9586,458€2.20