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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 31 July 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211091
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 17
  4. 22
  5. 46
  6. 3

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,006 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-07-28All recent draws2021-08-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 7 17 22 46 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 17 22 46 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

6205times
7205times
17210times
22229times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 852k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€404.1K
  • rang835%€1.2M
  • rang928%€995.7K
  • 4 other tiers25%€881.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

196times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

3197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,005 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 22, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 June 2016 — its closest relative in 2,005 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.5 by chance€214,275
  • rang361≈ 61 by chance€4,370
  • rang4529≈ 553 by chance€357
  • rang52,765≈ 2.6k by chance€40.70
  • rang623,910≈ 24k by chance€16.90
  • rang739,251≈ 37k by chance€8.00
  • rang8332,645≈ 333k by chance€3.70
  • rang9452,576€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 39,251 winners, 6% more than the 37k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€214,275
    rang361€4,370
    rang4529€357
    rang52,765€40.70
    rang623,910€16.90
    rang739,251€8.00
    rang8332,645€3.70
    rang9452,576€2.20