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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 28 July 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211090
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 28
  5. 29
  6. 6

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,005 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-07-26All recent draws2021-07-31 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 3 8 28 29 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 8 28 29 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

1216times
3208times
8183times
28202times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.6Mto 606k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang12 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang153%€3.0M
  • rang817%€970.6K
  • rang912%€647.1K
  • 5 other tiers18%€999.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang12≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

6185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,004 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 28, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 May 2020 — its closest relative in 2,004 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,500,000
  • rang20≈ 2.0 by chance€166,503
  • rang349≈ 48 by chance€4,227
  • rang4565≈ 436 by chance€259
  • rang52,059≈ 2.1k by chance€42.50
  • rang621,322≈ 19k by chance€14.70
  • rang725,991≈ 29k by chance€9.40
  • rang8262,332≈ 262k by chance€3.70
  • rang9294,126€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 21,322 winners, 14% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang12€1,500,000
    rang20€166,503
    rang349€4,227
    rang4565€259
    rang52,059€42.50
    rang621,322€14.70
    rang725,991€9.40
    rang8262,332€3.70
    rang9294,126€2.20