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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 14 July 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211084
  1. 18
  2. 29
  3. 31
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 10

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,999 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-07-12All recent draws2021-07-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 29 31 36 38 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 29 31 36 38 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

18193times
29217times
31205times
36204times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.6Mto 461k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang160%€4.0M
  • rang816%€1.0M
  • rang98.1%€535.5K
  • 5 other tiers16%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

220times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

10190times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,998 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 36, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 December 2020 — its closest relative in 1,998 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2021): 31, 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€177,865
  • rang320≈ 35 by chance€11,064
  • rang4258≈ 312 by chance€607
  • rang51,033≈ 1.5k by chance€90.50
  • rang612,292≈ 13k by chance€27.30
  • rang715,828≈ 21k by chance€16.50
  • rang8188,093≈ 188k by chance€5.50
  • rang9243,391€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,033 winners, 31% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€4,000,000
    rang20€177,865
    rang320€11,064
    rang4258€607
    rang51,033€90.50
    rang612,292€27.30
    rang715,828€16.50
    rang8188,093€5.50
    rang9243,391€2.20