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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 5 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211054
  1. 8
  2. 36
  3. 41
  4. 46
  5. 48
  6. 6

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,969 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-03All recent draws2021-05-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 36 41 46 48 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 36 41 46 48 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

8177times
36200times
41240times
46191times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 549k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang612%€358.8K
  • rang837%€1.1M
  • rang925%€740.4K
  • 4 other tiers26%€781.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

6178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,968 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (36, 41, 46, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 November 2016 — its closest relative in 1,968 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2021): 8, 48 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€189,526
  • rang322≈ 33 by chance€10,718
  • rang4218≈ 300 by chance€765
  • rang51,258≈ 1.4k by chance€79.20
  • rang611,007≈ 13k by chance€32.60
  • rang719,514≈ 20k by chance€14.30
  • rang8180,857≈ 181k by chance€6.10
  • rang9336,538€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 11,007 winners, 15% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang20€189,526
    rang322€10,718
    rang4218€765
    rang51,258€79.20
    rang611,007€32.60
    rang719,514€14.30
    rang8180,857€6.10
    rang9336,538€2.20