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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 3 May 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211053
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 37
  4. 44
  5. 48
  6. 6

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,968 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-05-01All recent draws2021-05-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 11 37 44 48 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 37 44 48 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

8176times
11197times
37198times
44198times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 496k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€291.5K
  • rang837%€882.4K
  • rang925%€595.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€635.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

6177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,967 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 37, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,967 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.4 by chance€154,481
  • rang326≈ 35 by chance€1,450
  • rang4256≈ 319 by chance€531
  • rang51,255≈ 1.5k by chance€64.70
  • rang612,897≈ 14k by chance€22.60
  • rang718,993≈ 21k by chance€11.90
  • rang8191,830≈ 192k by chance€4.60
  • rang9270,506€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,255 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€154,481
    rang326€1,450
    rang4256€531
    rang51,255€64.70
    rang612,897€22.60
    rang718,993€11.90
    rang8191,830€4.60
    rang9270,506€2.20