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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 29 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211038
  1. 13
  2. 18
  3. 28
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,953 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-27All recent draws2021-03-31 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 18 28 38 41 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 18 28 38 41 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

13229times
18190times
28197times
38213times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-29

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 457k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang613%€295.4K
  • rang839%€904.8K
  • rang921%€489.1K
  • 5 other tiers28%€645.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

1208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,952 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 38, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2020 — its closest relative in 1,952 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 March 2021): 18 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.5 by chance€78,260
  • rang337≈ 37 by chance€1,033
  • rang4349≈ 334 by chance€395
  • rang51,153≈ 1.6k by chance€71.40
  • rang615,306≈ 14k by chance€19.30
  • rang716,680≈ 22k by chance€13.80
  • rang8201,074≈ 201k by chance€4.50
  • rang9222,302€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,153 winners, 28% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang22€78,260
    rang337€1,033
    rang4349€395
    rang51,153€71.40
    rang615,306€19.30
    rang716,680€13.80
    rang8201,074€4.50
    rang9222,302€2.20