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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 27 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211037
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 5

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,952 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-24All recent draws2021-03-29 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 10 11 16 18 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 11 16 18 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

11oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 11 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd9th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

8173times
10197times
11195times
16211times
18

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-27

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang611%€446.0K
  • rang834%€1.4M
  • rang931%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers24%€973.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

5216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,951 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 April 2019 — its closest relative in 1,951 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

63

The numbers add up to 63 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang26≈ 3.2 by chance€39,497
  • rang3131≈ 77 by chance€442
  • rang4984≈ 694 by chance€212
  • rang54,824≈ 3.3k by chance€25.80
  • rang634,304≈ 30k by chance€13.00
  • rang756,663≈ 46k by chance€6.10
  • rang8417,496≈ 417k by chance€3.30
  • rang9562,594€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 4,824 winners, 46% more than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang26€39,497
    rang3131€442
    rang4984€212
    rang54,824€25.80
    rang634,304€13.00
    rang756,663€6.10
    rang8417,496€3.30
    rang9562,594€2.20