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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 13 March 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211031
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 47
  6. 8

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,946 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-10All recent draws2021-03-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 10 19 22 47 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 19 22 47 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 198 of each

4199times
10196times
19183times
22221times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-13

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 993k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • rang612%€484.5K
  • rang836%€1.5M
  • rang927%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

8176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,945 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 10, 19, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2018 — its closest relative in 1,945 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang210≈ 3.0 by chance€25,708
  • rang382≈ 72 by chance€765
  • rang4820≈ 652 by chance€276
  • rang53,499≈ 3.1k by chance€38.60
  • rang631,877≈ 28k by chance€15.20
  • rang744,149≈ 44k by chance€8.50
  • rang8392,601≈ 393k by chance€3.80
  • rang9519,527€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 820 winners, 26% more than the 652 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang210€25,708
    rang382€765
    rang4820€276
    rang53,499€38.60
    rang631,877€15.20
    rang744,149€8.50
    rang8392,601€3.80
    rang9519,527€2.20