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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211001
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 24
  4. 27
  5. 41
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 62% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,916 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-30All recent draws2021-01-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 7 24 27 41 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 24 27 41 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

5194times
7197times
24192times
27197times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 795k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • rang613%€484.1K
  • rang839%€1.5M
  • rang920%€769.9K
  • 4 other tiers28%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

230times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

10179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,915 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,915 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.9 by chance€255,851
  • rang361≈ 71 by chance€5,218
  • rang4652≈ 636 by chance€345
  • rang52,227≈ 3.0k by chance€60.40
  • rang628,813≈ 27k by chance€16.80
  • rang730,625≈ 43k by chance€12.30
  • rang8382,773≈ 383k by chance€3.80
  • rang9349,947€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 30,625 winners, 28% fewer than the 43k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€255,851
    rang361€5,218
    rang4652€345
    rang52,227€60.40
    rang628,813€16.80
    rang730,625€12.30
    rang8382,773€3.80
    rang9349,947€2.20