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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 30 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200157
  1. 13
  2. 20
  3. 31
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 1

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,915 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-28All recent draws2021-01-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 20 31 36 38 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 20 31 36 38 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

13222times
20193times
31195times
36195times
38

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 561k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang613%€387.8K
  • rang839%€1.2M
  • rang921%€632.2K
  • 5 other tiers28%€847.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

208times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

1206times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,914 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 31, 38) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,914 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€205,534
  • rang325≈ 44 by chance€2,007
  • rang4276≈ 394 by chance€656
  • rang51,340≈ 1.9k by chance€80.60
  • rang614,972≈ 17k by chance€25.90
  • rang720,040≈ 26k by chance€15.10
  • rang8237,460≈ 237k by chance€5.00
  • rang9287,371€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,340 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€205,534
    rang325€2,007
    rang4276€656
    rang51,340€80.60
    rang614,972€25.90
    rang720,040€15.10
    rang8237,460€5.00
    rang9287,371€2.20