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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 21 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200153
  1. 10
  2. 31
  3. 36
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 5

Jackpot€17,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,911 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-19All recent draws2020-12-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 31 36 37 44 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 31 36 37 44 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

10192times
31192times
36194times
37192times
44

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 688k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang611%€344.1K
  • rang834%€1.1M
  • rang931%€961.1K
  • 5 other tiers24%€749.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

5209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,910 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 37, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,910 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2020): 10 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€17,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.6 by chance€91,136
  • rang339≈ 39 by chance€1,141
  • rang4226≈ 350 by chance€710
  • rang51,549≈ 1.7k by chance€61.90
  • rang613,234≈ 15k by chance€26.00
  • rang726,098≈ 23k by chance€10.20
  • rang8210,460≈ 210k by chance€5.00
  • rang9436,864€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 13,234 winners, 12% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€17,000,000
    rang22€91,136
    rang339€1,141
    rang4226€710
    rang51,549€61.90
    rang613,234€26.00
    rang726,098€10.20
    rang8210,460€5.00
    rang9436,864€2.20