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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 19 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200152
  1. 10
  2. 23
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,910 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-16All recent draws2020-12-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 23 29 30 49 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 23 29 30 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

10191times
23207times
29208times
30188times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-19

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.0Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang611%€556.5K
  • rang834%€1.7M
  • rang931%€1.5M
  • 5 other tiers24%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

197times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

5208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,909 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 29, 30, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,909 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang21≈ 3.2 by chance€294,179
  • rang3102≈ 78 by chance€704
  • rang4675≈ 699 by chance€384
  • rang54,276≈ 3.3k by chance€36.10
  • rang631,621≈ 30k by chance€17.60
  • rang756,372≈ 47k by chance€7.60
  • rang8420,547≈ 421k by chance€4.00
  • rang9699,595€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 4,276 winners, 28% more than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang21€294,179
    rang3102€704
    rang4675€384
    rang54,276€36.10
    rang631,621€17.60
    rang756,372€7.60
    rang8420,547€4.00
    rang9699,595€2.20