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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 12 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200149
  1. 9
  2. 14
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 6

Jackpot€13,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,907 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-09All recent draws2020-12-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 14 23 31 45 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 14 23 31 45 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

9197times
14191times
23206times
31191times
45

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.8Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang612%€575.2K
  • rang837%€1.8M
  • rang925%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

6171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,906 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 31, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,906 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€13,000,000
  • rang22≈ 3.2 by chance€152,111
  • rang380≈ 77 by chance€928
  • rang4786≈ 695 by chance€341
  • rang53,227≈ 3.3k by chance€49.50
  • rang631,429≈ 30k by chance€18.30
  • rang742,385≈ 46k by chance€10.50
  • rang8418,357≈ 418k by chance€4.20
  • rang9555,891€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 786 winners, 13% more than the 695 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€13,000,000
    rang22€152,111
    rang380€928
    rang4786€341
    rang53,227€49.50
    rang631,429€18.30
    rang742,385€10.50
    rang8418,357€4.20
    rang9555,891€2.20