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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 9 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200148
  1. 17
  2. 24
  3. 39
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 42% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,906 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-07All recent draws2020-12-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official17 24 39 47 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed17 24 39 47 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

17194times
24191times
39171times
47183times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 873k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang610%€340.2K
  • rang831%€1.0M
  • rang938%€1.3M
  • 4 other tiers22%€741.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

7215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,905 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (39, 47, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,905 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 December 2020): 48 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.7 by chance€180,169
  • rang353≈ 43 by chance€4,229
  • rang4332≈ 384 by chance€478
  • rang52,497≈ 1.8k by chance€37.90
  • rang615,122≈ 17k by chance€22.50
  • rang737,249≈ 26k by chance€7.10
  • rang8231,458≈ 231k by chance€4.50
  • rang9586,056€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 37,249 winners, 45% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang20€180,169
    rang353€4,229
    rang4332€478
    rang52,497€37.90
    rang615,122€22.50
    rang737,249€7.10
    rang8231,458€4.50
    rang9586,056€2.20