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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Loto · draw

Monday, 17 August 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200099
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 48
  6. 6

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,857 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-08-15All recent draws2020-08-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 6 39 40 48 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 39 40 48 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

1206times
6189times
39167times
40195times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 404k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • rang612%€251.7K
  • rang837%€776.8K
  • rang925%€523.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€548.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

182times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each

6169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,856 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 6, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 June 2020 — its closest relative in 1,856 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.1 by chance€133,347
  • rang328≈ 26 by chance€1,162
  • rang4158≈ 235 by chance€743
  • rang5901≈ 1.1k by chance€77.80
  • rang68,172≈ 10k by chance€30.80
  • rang715,623≈ 16k by chance€12.50
  • rang8141,230≈ 141k by chance€5.50
  • rang9237,789€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 901 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€133,347
    rang328€1,162
    rang4158€743
    rang5901€77.80
    rang68,172€30.80
    rang715,623€12.50
    rang8141,230€5.50
    rang9237,789€2.20