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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 August 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200097
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 30
  4. 44
  5. 47
  6. 3

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,855 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-08-10All recent draws2020-08-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 17 30 44 47 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 30 44 47 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

3189times
17187times
30184times
44188times
47

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 639k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€330.3K
  • rang835%€1.0M
  • rang928%€816.1K
  • 5 other tiers25%€718.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

3184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,854 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 30, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,854 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€174,858
  • rang340≈ 41 by chance€1,067
  • rang4331≈ 370 by chance€465
  • rang51,941≈ 1.8k by chance€47.30
  • rang614,946≈ 16k by chance€22.10
  • rang728,343≈ 25k by chance€9.00
  • rang8222,681≈ 223k by chance€4.50
  • rang9370,956€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 28,343 winners, 15% more than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang21€174,858
    rang340€1,067
    rang4331€465
    rang51,941€47.30
    rang614,946€22.10
    rang728,343€9.00
    rang8222,681€4.50
    rang9370,956€2.20