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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 January 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200005
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 23
  5. 48
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,763 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-01-08All recent draws2020-01-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 13 14 23 48 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 14 23 48 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

2180times
13209times
14172times
23190times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 992k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • rang612%€477.2K
  • rang835%€1.4M
  • rang929%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

170times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

3178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,762 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 13, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 October 2019 — its closest relative in 1,762 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.9 by chance€84,058
  • rang354≈ 70 by chance€1,140
  • rang4630≈ 629 by chance€352
  • rang53,293≈ 3.0k by chance€40.20
  • rang627,585≈ 27k by chance€17.30
  • rang744,505≈ 42k by chance€8.30
  • rang8378,530≈ 379k by chance€3.80
  • rang9537,144€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,293 winners, 10% more than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang23€84,058
    rang354€1,140
    rang4630€352
    rang53,293€40.20
    rang627,585€17.30
    rang744,505€8.30
    rang8378,530€3.80
    rang9537,144€2.20