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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 8 January 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200004
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 29
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 8

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,762 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-01-06All recent draws2020-01-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 17 29 37 44 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 29 37 44 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

16194times
17176times
29194times
37181times
44

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 648k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€341.2K
  • rang835%€1.0M
  • rang928%€826.6K
  • 5 other tiers25%€741.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

8159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,761 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 29, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,761 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.7 by chance€90,127
  • rang350≈ 42 by chance€880
  • rang4531≈ 375 by chance€299
  • rang52,038≈ 1.8k by chance€46.50
  • rang616,643≈ 16k by chance€20.50
  • rang727,212≈ 25k by chance€9.70
  • rang8225,511≈ 226k by chance€4.60
  • rang9375,724€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,038 winners, 14% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang22€90,127
    rang350€880
    rang4531€299
    rang52,038€46.50
    rang616,643€20.50
    rang727,212€9.70
    rang8225,511€4.60
    rang9375,724€2.20