Wednesday, 4 January 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 10, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 April 2011 — its closest relative in 508 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.