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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,543,500
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,031 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,030 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 17, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,030 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 10% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1, 2 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 732,437 winners, 19% more than the 614k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 732,437 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 317,094 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 71,638 | £5.50 |
| Match 3 | 49,002 | £6.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 13,152 | £12.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,835 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 846 | £53.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,022 | £31.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 471 | £90.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £1,055 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £9,318 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £79,735 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,543,500 |