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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£50,541,114
The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,025 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,024 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 8, 28) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 May 2024 — its closest relative in 1,024 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 80 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 606 winners, 12% more than the 543 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 836,260 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 365,439 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 89,922 | £4.70 |
| Match 3 | 58,007 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,520 | £9.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,369 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,224 | £39.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,150 | £29.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 606 | £76.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19 | £1,319 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £40,244 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £50,541,114 |