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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£52,052,409
The crowdHeld 46% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,018 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 June 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,017 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 34, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,017 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 June 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 76,248 winners, 50% more than the 51k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,065,466 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 375,348 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85,067 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 | 76,248 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 15,988 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,452 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,067 | £60.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,726 | £26.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 542 | £112 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24 | £1,379 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £8,852 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £151,503 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £52,052,409 |