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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£42,703,040
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 991 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 990 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 17, 18) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 January 2024 — its closest relative in 990 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 March 2026): 12, 16 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 804 winners, 39% more than the 580 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 950,092 | £2.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 433,402 | £3.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 95,948 | £4.50 |
| Match 3 | 70,112 | £5.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,456 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 31,703 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,602 | £30.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,645 | £20.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 804 | £57.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £869 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £8,992 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £42,703,040 |