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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,064,075
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 989 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 988 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 17, 28, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 April 2021 — its closest relative in 988 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 10% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 March 2026): 17, 41 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 813,883 winners, 24% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 813,883 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 395,936 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 125,629 | £3.40 |
| Match 3 | 59,922 | £5.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,081 | £6.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,247 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,906 | £25.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,621 | £20.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 842 | £54.40 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52 | £478 |
| Match 5 | 16 | £4,990 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | £28,468 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £23,064,075 |