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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£43,818,269
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 915 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 914 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 28, 32) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 June 2023 — its closest relative in 914 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 June 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 433,847 winners, 16% more than the 373k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 825,734 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 433,847 | £3.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 97,882 | £5.00 |
| Match 3 | 55,354 | £7.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,291 | £10.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,582 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,231 | £45.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,122 | £34.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 602 | £87.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34 | £840 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £11,460 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £130,760 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £43,818,269 |