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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£45,027,369
The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 894 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 April 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 893 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 39, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 November 2023 — its closest relative in 893 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 April 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 169 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,397 winners, 31% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 941,740 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 452,131 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 148,487 | £3.90 |
| Match 3 | 63,633 | £7.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,824 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,751 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,760 | £37.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,397 | £33.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 694 | £89.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44 | £766 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £18,043 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £92,641 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £45,027,369 |