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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,709,199
The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 892 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 April 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 891 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 34, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 December 2023 — its closest relative in 891 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 April 2025): 14, 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 171 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,336 winners, 33% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 914,696 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 438,492 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 145,952 | £3.70 |
| Match 3 | 59,927 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,904 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,376 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,706 | £36.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,336 | £32.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 621 | £95.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34 | £944 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £17,175 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £25,709,199 |