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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£209,300,000
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 888 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 148 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 887 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 30, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 November 2023 — its closest relative in 887 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 March 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈64M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 3,111,406 winners, 7% more than the 2.9M an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 3,111,406 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,300,647 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 338,662 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 210,303 | £6.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64,252 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 88,580 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,599 | £42.70 |
| Match 4 | 4,772 | £28.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,040 | £91.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 116 | £870 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £13,503 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £246,038 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £209,300,000 |