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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£121,975,243
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 883 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 88 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 147 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 882 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (36, 37, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 January 2025 — its closest relative in 882 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 March 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 175 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,679 winners, 26% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,269,940 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 596,277 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 167,267 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 82,665 | £8.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30,755 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,147 | £9.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,056 | £44.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,679 | £38.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 800 | £108 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37 | £1,273 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £15,123 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £215,693 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £121,975,243 |