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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£32,322,607
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 879 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 88 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 878 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 22, 23, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 June 2023 — its closest relative in 878 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 69,403 winners, 31% more than the 53k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 929,020 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 373,133 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 88,397 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 69,403 | £5.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,726 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,761 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,169 | £45.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,374 | £26.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 544 | £91.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £1,232 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £14,504 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £124,113 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £32,322,607 |