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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£44,419,556
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 866 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 865 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 36, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 May 2022 — its closest relative in 865 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,557 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,040,834 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 539,324 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 131,395 | £4.90 |
| Match 3 | 69,838 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,794 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,007 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,720 | £42.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,557 | £32.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 801 | £86.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | £1,210 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £40,141 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £128,812 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £44,419,556 |