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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,174,526
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 864 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 863 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 35, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 July 2024 — its closest relative in 863 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 December 2024): 19 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 608 winners, 16% fewer than the 722 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,008,934 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 439,059 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 119,525 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 68,729 | £7.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22,935 | £10.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,727 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,591 | £41.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,418 | £32.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 608 | £103 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £1,173 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £18,201 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £233,626 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,174,526 |