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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£161,692,181
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 852 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 142 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 851 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 12) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 November 2024 — its closest relative in 851 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈55M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,351 winners, 33% more than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,931,777 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,246,775 | £3.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 295,013 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 217,100 | £5.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 56,732 | £10.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 90,710 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,916 | £43.90 |
| Match 4 | 5,351 | £22.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,182 | £74.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 93 | £950 |
| Match 5 | 27 | £10,503 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | £110,305 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £161,692,181 |