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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£40,682,863
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 801 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 800 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 35, 36, 41) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 January 2022 — its closest relative in 800 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 May 2024): 18 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 8,243 winners, 26% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €250,693 |
| rang3 | 2 | €9,765 |
| rang4 | 1 | €2,433 |
| rang5 | 98 | €131 |
| rang6 | 184 | €73.00 |
| rang7 | 173 | €53.80 |
| rang8 | 3,147 | €16.20 |
| rang9 | 4,322 | €13.10 |
| rang10 | 8,243 | €12.10 |
| rang11 | 18,617 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 69,296 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 131,681 | €4.70 |