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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,596,200
The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 764 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 763 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 44, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 June 2022 — its closest relative in 763 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 197 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang12 — 87,987 winners, 11% more than the 79k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €17,000,000 |
| rang2 | 2 | €215,403 |
| rang3 | 3 | €30,206 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,742 |
| rang5 | 93 | €168 |
| rang6 | 245 | €75.50 |
| rang7 | 213 | €52.40 |
| rang8 | 3,796 | €17.80 |
| rang9 | 5,215 | €13.50 |
| rang10 | 11,314 | €11.20 |
| rang11 | 20,856 | €8.20 |
| rang12 | 87,987 | €6.10 |
| rang13 | 194,364 | €4.30 |