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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£45,465,075
The crowdHeld 47% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 746 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 745 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 26, 46) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 February 2023 — its closest relative in 745 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 November 2023): 50 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 260 winners, 55% fewer than the 582 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €171,010 |
| rang3 | 0 | €79,936 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,509 |
| rang5 | 117 | €142 |
| rang6 | 427 | €52.20 |
| rang7 | 260 | €53.20 |
| rang8 | 7,151 | €11.70 |
| rang9 | 6,325 | €12.50 |
| rang10 | 12,606 | €11.50 |
| rang11 | 42,828 | €5.10 |
| rang12 | 104,435 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 196,303 | €4.60 |