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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,890,578
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 739 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 123 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 738 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 18, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 May 2023 — its closest relative in 738 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 172,414 winners, 10% fewer than the 191k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €26,274,769 |
| rang2 | 0 | €484,143 |
| rang3 | 1 | €16,165 |
| rang4 | 10 | €860 |
| rang5 | 141 | €107 |
| rang6 | 333 | €48.10 |
| rang7 | 313 | €39.00 |
| rang8 | 4,163 | €12.30 |
| rang9 | 5,644 | €10.70 |
| rang10 | 12,088 | €9.10 |
| rang11 | 22,310 | €5.80 |
| rang12 | 80,348 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 172,414 | €3.90 |