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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£56,740,038
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 695 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 694 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 14) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 May 2023 — its closest relative in 694 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 May 2023): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 82 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 16,662 winners, 35% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €187,039 |
| rang3 | 2 | €18,735 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,075 |
| rang5 | 137 | €106 |
| rang6 | 270 | €57.70 |
| rang7 | 411 | €30.60 |
| rang8 | 4,145 | €14.50 |
| rang9 | 6,702 | €10.10 |
| rang10 | 16,662 | €7.80 |
| rang11 | 20,663 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 89,266 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 218,637 | €3.50 |