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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,965,886
The crowdHeld 63% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 675 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 112 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 674 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 31, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 July 2022 — its closest relative in 674 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 March 2023): 16 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 194,574 winners, 63% more than the 119k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €176,354 |
| rang3 | 2 | €20,608 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,426 |
| rang5 | 113 | €150 |
| rang6 | 187 | €84.20 |
| rang7 | 316 | €40.80 |
| rang8 | 2,568 | €20.50 |
| rang9 | 4,502 | €13.90 |
| rang10 | 13,388 | €9.10 |
| rang11 | 13,898 | €9.60 |
| rang12 | 63,778 | €6.90 |
| rang13 | 194,574 | €3.90 |