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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£90,371,760
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 670 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 669 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (34, 42, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 December 2022 — its closest relative in 669 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 February 2023): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 10,923 winners, 13% more than the 9.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 1 | €102,242,065 |
| rang2 | 0 | €446,487 |
| rang3 | 2 | €18,973 |
| rang4 | 15 | €1,000 |
| rang5 | 307 | €92.40 |
| rang6 | 437 | €65.10 |
| rang7 | 667 | €31.90 |
| rang8 | 6,470 | €15.10 |
| rang9 | 10,923 | €10.30 |
| rang10 | 23,313 | €8.90 |
| rang11 | 36,215 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 148,107 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 318,931 | €4.00 |