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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,953,200
The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 659 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 110 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 658 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 30, 46) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 July 2020 — its closest relative in 658 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 165 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 9,162 winners, 35% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 3 | €82,264 |
| rang3 | 2 | €38,453 |
| rang4 | 12 | €1,198 |
| rang5 | 91 | €159 |
| rang6 | 253 | €59.60 |
| rang7 | 181 | €51.10 |
| rang8 | 4,066 | €13.00 |
| rang9 | 4,264 | €12.90 |
| rang10 | 9,162 | €11.00 |
| rang11 | 23,699 | €5.70 |
| rang12 | 69,051 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 145,818 | €4.30 |